Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
