Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.