Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
