Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
