Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
