SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Parma |
41.95% ( -0.03) | 25.46% ( -0.01) | 32.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( 0.04) | 48.48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( 0.04) | 70.61% ( -0.03) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.04) | 28.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.1% ( 0.05) | 63.9% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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