Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
