Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
Result | ||
Cittadella | Draw | Monza |
39.45% | 27.48% | 33.07% |
Both teams to score 49.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.44% | 56.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% | 77.54% |
Cittadella Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% | 27.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% | 63.61% |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.08% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.63% | 68.38% |
Score Analysis |
Cittadella | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.45% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.06% |
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