Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
