Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Palermo
37.95% ( 0.02)	29.6% ( 0.01)	32.44% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.98% (

-0.04)

64.02% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.8% (

-0.03)

83.2% (

0.02)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

-0.01)

32.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

-0.01)

69.12% (

0.01)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7% (

-0.04)

36.3% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0.04)

73.08% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Perugia 37.95%

Palermo 32.44%

Draw 29.6%

Perugia	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.6%	0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.44%