Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Palermo
46.36% ( -1.16)	25.95% ( 0.53)	27.69% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.35% (

-1.75)

52.65% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-1.52)

74.29% (

1.52)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-1.25)

22.68% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

-1.9)

56.34% (

1.9)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-0.44)

33.8% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

-0.48)

70.47% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

SPAL 46.35%

Palermo 27.69%

Draw 25.94%

SPAL	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.69%