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Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
PL

Bari
4 - 0
Parma

Balogh (5' og.), Cheddira (13' pen., 43' pen.), Salcedo (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Camara (64'), Valenti (70')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bari 1-2 Genoa
Monday, December 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Parma
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawParma
44.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.83% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (0.038000000000004 0.04)50.62% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.38%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.051000000000002 0.05)67.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bari 44.44%
    Parma 29.83%
    Draw 25.72%
BariDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bari 1-2 Genoa
Monday, December 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggina 0-0 Bari
Saturday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 4-1 Modena
Sunday, December 11 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 0-3 Bari
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-0 Pisa
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 1-1 Bari
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Parma
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Venezia 2-2 Parma
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-1 SPAL
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Monday, December 12 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Benevento
Thursday, December 8 at 11.30am in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Parma
Saturday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie B


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