SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Cagliari |
37.58% ( -0.18) | 27.41% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.06) | 56.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( 0.05) | 77.11% ( -0.05) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.07) | 28.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.35% ( -0.09) | 64.65% ( 0.1) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( 0.16) | 30.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.43% ( 0.19) | 66.57% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.01% |
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