Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.07) 
