Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
