Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Parma in this match.
0.24) 
-0.1) 
