Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
