Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.