Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.71) 
0.3) 
