SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Benevento |
| 42.88% | 26.81% | 30.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% | 54.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% | 76.08% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.49% | 69.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.31% |
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