Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Reggiana
36.47% ( 0.17)	27.77% ( -0.1)	35.77% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64% (

0.39)

57.37% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

0.31)

78.19% (

-0.3)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

0.3)

30.13% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

0.36)

66.28% (

-0.35)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.15)

30.57% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

0.18)

66.8% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 36.46%

Reggiana 35.76%

Draw 27.76%

Cittadella	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.76%