Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.13) 
