Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.