Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.06) 
