Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Bari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
31.11% ( -0.02) | 28.33% ( 0.13) | 40.56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.36) |
| 39.93% ( -0.45) | 60.07% ( 0.45) |
| 19.71% ( -0.34) | 80.29% ( 0.35) |
| 64.85% ( -0.26) | 35.15% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.1% ( -0.27) | 71.9% ( 0.27) |
| 70.97% ( -0.28) | 29.03% ( 0.28) |
