Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
-0.5) 
0.15) 
