Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Ternana
50.94% ( 0.12)	23.97%	25.08% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

-0.11)

46.34% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

-0.1)

68.63% (

0.1)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

18.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

0.01)

49.23% (

-0.01)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

-0.16)

32.55% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

-0.18)

69.08% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

SPAL 50.94%

Ternana 25.08%

Draw 23.97%

SPAL	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.08%