Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
-0) 
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