Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-1.59) 
0.28) 
