Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
1.07) 
-0.32) 
