Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
54.16% ( -0.13)	26.84% ( 0.14)	18.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 39.85% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.32% (

-0.44)

62.67% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.77% (

-0.32)

82.23% (

0.32)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.25)

23.47% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.36)

57.49% (

0.35)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.08% (

-0.28)

47.92% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.83% (

-0.21)

83.17% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Bari 54.16%

Sudtirol 18.99%

Draw 26.83%

Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 16.3% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.99%