SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Aluminij win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Maribor |
14.81% ( -0) | 21.65% ( -0) | 63.53% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0) | 50.38% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -0) | 72.32% ( 0) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.01) | 45.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.29% ( -0) | 81.71% ( 0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% ( -0) | 15.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.1% ( -0) | 43.89% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.11% 3-1 @ 1.03% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.28% Total : 14.81% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.1% Total : 63.53% |
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