SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Radomlje win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Radomlje |
72.18% ( 0.35) | 16.96% ( -0.2) | 10.86% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.86% ( 0.51) | 39.14% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.53% ( 0.53) | 61.47% ( -0.54) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( 0.21) | 9.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.1% ( 0.51) | 31.9% ( -0.51) |
| Radomlje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.06) | 45.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% ( 0.05) | 81.12% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Radomlje |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 72.16% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.96% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.86% |
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