SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
21.52% ( 0.49) | 22.89% ( 0.59) | 55.59% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( -2) | 45.34% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( -1.94) | 67.68% ( 1.94) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.66) | 35.17% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.7) | 71.92% ( 0.7) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( -1.06) | 16.16% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.39% ( -1.97) | 45.61% ( 1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.58% |
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