SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 82.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Pendikspor had a probability of 6.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Pendikspor win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Pendikspor |
82.7% ( -0.03) | 11.21% ( 0.06) | 6.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.48) | 27.19% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.6) | 47.73% ( 0.6) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.2% ( -0.09) | 4.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.61% ( -0.28) | 19.39% ( 0.28) |
| Pendikspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.56% ( -0.48) | 47.44% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.19% ( -0.36) | 82.82% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Pendikspor |
| 3-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.32% Total : 82.69% | 1-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 11.21% | 1-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 6.1% |
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