SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
68.48% ( 0.44) | 18.04% ( -0.12) | 13.48% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.18) | 37.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.19) | 59.45% ( 0.19) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( 0.06) | 9.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.2% ( 0.13) | 32.8% ( -0.14) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.57) | 39.71% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.62% ( -0.53) | 76.38% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.48% |
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