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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
42.45% ( -0.26) | 24.15% ( -0.01) | 33.4% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.11) | 42.27% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( 0.11) | 64.67% ( -0.11) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( -0.07) | 20.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( -0.11) | 52.36% ( 0.11) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.2) | 24.71% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.29) | 59.25% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.4% |
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