SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Antalyaspor |
46.6% ( 0.2) | 24.91% ( -0.02) | 28.49% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0) | 47.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% | 70.05% ( 0.01) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( 0.09) | 20.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( 0.14) | 53.13% ( -0.13) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.13) | 30.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.15) | 66.95% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.49% |
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