Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Besiktas |
28.2% ( 3.61) | 23.34% ( 0.99) | 48.45% ( -4.61) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.96% ( -1.57) | 41.03% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.57% ( -1.61) | 63.43% ( 1.61) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 1.85) | 27.39% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 2.33) | 62.86% ( -2.34) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( -2.21) | 17.15% ( 2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.6% ( -4.03) | 47.39% ( 4.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lugano | Draw | Besiktas |
2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.2% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.71) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.47) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.49) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.45% |
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