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L
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
B

Lugano
0 - 2
Besiktas


Espinoza (73'), Hajdari (76')
Steffen (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBesiktas
28.2% (3.612 3.61) 23.34% (0.991 0.99) 48.45% (-4.607 -4.61)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-1.565 -1.57)41.03% (1.561 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-1.613 -1.61)63.43% (1.61 1.61)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (1.846 1.85)27.39% (-1.851 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (2.332 2.33)62.86% (-2.337 -2.34)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-2.205 -2.21)17.15% (2.202 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (-4.033 -4.03)47.39% (4.029 4.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 28.2%
    Besiktas 48.45%
    Draw 23.34%
LuganoDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.665 0.67)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.708 0.71)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.634 0.63)
3-1 @ 3% (0.424 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.196 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.346 0.35)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.2%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.155 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.327 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.593 -0.59)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.592 -0.59)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.485 -0.49)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.45%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-3 Basel
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Luzern
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-2 Lugano
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Yverdon Sport 0-5 Lugano
Saturday, November 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 0-3 FC Zurich
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 0-5 Brugge
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-2 Besiktas
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sakaryaspor 1-2 Besiktas
Sunday, November 19 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 1-0 Istanbul
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig


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