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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu

Umraniyespor
1 - 2
Kasimpasa

Mrsic (90+9')
Geraldo (60'), Yilmaz (81'), Sackey (85'), Glumac (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hadergjonaj (36' pen.), Bahoken (83')
Fall (25'), Tirpan (27'), Hadergjonaj (53'), Ben Ouannes (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Umraniyespor
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Umraniyespor 1-2 Kasimpasa

Umraniyespor have not lost by more than a one-goal margin all season, and we can see that trend continuing here after Kasimpasa were quickly brought crashing back down to earth against Galatasaray. Facing the league's leakiest defence is also cause for optimism for the hosts, but Kasimpasa will still expect to rediscover their attacking touch and return to winning ways this weekend, forcing Umraniyespor to wait that little bit longer for their first top-flight victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
UmraniyesporDrawKasimpasa
41.31% (-0.624 -0.62) 25.14% (0.233 0.23) 33.55% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (-0.945 -0.95)46.78% (0.944 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (-0.891 -0.89)69.04% (0.889 0.89)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.708 -0.71)22.55% (0.707 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-1.062 -1.06)56.14% (1.06 1.06)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)26.77% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (-0.291 -0.29)62.05% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Umraniyespor 41.31%
    Kasimpasa 33.55%
    Draw 25.14%
UmraniyesporDrawKasimpasa
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Umraniyespor
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-1 Trabzonspor
Friday, September 2 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-0 Umraniyespor
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-1 Galatasaray
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-1 Antalyaspor
Sunday, August 14 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Umraniyespor
Monday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, August 28 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Giresunspor 1-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, August 20 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-6 Fenerbahce
Monday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 4-0 Kasimpasa
Monday, August 8 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig


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