SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Rennes |
51.13% ( 0.19) | 24.04% ( 0) | 24.83% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.19) | 46.84% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.17) | 69.1% ( 0.16) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( 0) | 18.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.56% ( 0.01) | 49.44% ( -0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0.27) | 33.03% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( -0.29) | 69.61% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.83% |
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