SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Gaziantep |
75.64% ( -0.26) | 14.56% ( 0.15) | 9.8% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.41) | 30.29% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.5) | 51.54% ( 0.5) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.34% ( -0.14) | 6.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.28% ( -0.38) | 24.72% ( 0.38) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.09) | 41.03% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% ( -0.08) | 77.59% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.1% Total : 75.64% | 1-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.56% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 9.8% |
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