SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
65.5% ( -0.04) | 17.34% ( 0.01) | 17.16% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.03) | 25.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.04) | 45.62% ( 0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.54% ( -0.02) | 7.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.18% ( -0.04) | 26.82% ( 0.04) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( -0) | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.69% Total : 65.5% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.14% 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.34% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 17.16% |
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