With this being a derby contest, we expect Monday's encounter to be a cagey affair, but as Galatasaray have one eye on their Europa League last-16 second leg with Barcelona on Thursday, we think that a Besiktas side that are fully focused on the league will claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Besiktas
51.68%	22.57%	25.74%

Both teams to score 60.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.6%

39.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.26%

61.74%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61%

15.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81%

44.18%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95%

64.04%

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 51.68%

Besiktas 25.74%

Draw 22.56%

Galatasaray	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.68%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.49% 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.54% Total : 25.74%