Barcelona certainly appear to be finding their feet under Xavi and have had no problems on the goalscoring front recently - largely thanks to an extensive amount of options in the final third.
While Galatasaray have certainly improved under their new man at the helm, keeping the back door shut has not been their forte, and an in-form Blaugrana should claim a healthy first-leg advantage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
