SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 39.28% | 25.48% | 35.24% |
| Both teams to score 55.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% | 47.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% | 70.16% |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.59% | 58.41% |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% | 26.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.52% | 61.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gaziantep | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.28% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.24% |
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