Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.