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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Mersin Stadyumu
AL

Hatayspor
2 - 3
Antalyaspor

Boutobba (30'), Aboubakar (64' pen.)
Yilmaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Samudio (22' pen.), van de Streek (39'), Safouri (86')
Ozturk (45+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-4 Hatayspor
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Antalyaspor

Hatayspor's struggles and Antalyaspor's poor away form make this a tough call – however, with the desperation for points on the home side and their recent performances, we expect them to edge what will likely be a cagey affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
45.1% (-0.338 -0.34) 25.68% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 29.22% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.283 -0.28)50.75% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.25 -0.25)72.64% (0.248 0.25)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)22.46% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (-0.412 -0.41)56% (0.409 0.41)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.027999999999992 0.03)31.65% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 45.09%
    Antalyaspor 29.22%
    Draw 25.68%
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-4 Hatayspor
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, January 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Caykur Rizespor
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, January 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Goztepe SK
Sunday, December 15 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Goztepe SK 1-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, January 19 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 5-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, January 12 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-4 Eyupspor
Saturday, January 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, December 22 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Sunday, December 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig


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