Hatayspor have been unfortunate to come out empty-handed in their opening two matches, and there will be optimism heading into this one, while Antalyaspor have clearly struggled so far – this is why we think that the visitors will narrowly edge out the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
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