There is very little to split the sides coming into the game, as Basaksehir arguably have the better side on paper, but have struggled for form of late.
None of Gent's home matches in the Conference League this season has seen both teams score, and they have tightened up in defence recently, so goals may be at a premium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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