SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
62.18% ( 0.03) | 21.48% ( -0.01) | 16.33% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( 0.02) | 46.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.01) | 69.19% ( -0.02) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( 0.01) | 14.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.44% ( 0.03) | 42.56% ( -0.03) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.02) | 41.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.69% ( -0.01) | 78.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 62.17% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.33% |
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