SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Gaziantep |
76.07% ( 0.63) | 15.1% ( -0.34) | 8.83% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.37% ( 0.6) | 36.63% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.21% ( 0.66) | 58.78% ( -0.66) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.98% ( 0.28) | 8.02% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.75% ( 0.7) | 28.25% ( -0.71) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.4% ( -0.24) | 47.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% ( -0.18) | 82.93% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 76.06% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 15.1% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 8.83% |
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